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Nation-state/Analysis/File 25-0506

Israel Accounted for 33% of Middle East Targeting in 2025

Regional research put Israel at 33% of Middle East targeting, Saudi Arabia at 12% and the UAE at 11%. Unlike most distributions in this corpus, this one does not track economic size.

Constructed geometry · not a chart of case data
TargetMiddle East organisations
ActorMultiple
D. Kennedy11 min readConfidence: medium2 sources reviewed

Regional research recorded Israel as the most frequently targeted country in the Middle East at around 33%, followed by Saudi Arabia at 12% and the UAE at 11%.

Everywhere Else In This Corpus, Distribution Tracks Size

Brazil, Mexico and Argentina lead Latin America at 25-1116. China and India lead Asia-Pacific at 25-1206. South Africa, Egypt and Nigeria lead Africa at 25-0513. In each case the corpus read the distribution as opportunistic targeting following economic and digital scale.

This distribution does not fit that reading. Israel is not the largest economy in the region and holds a third of observed targeting. Saudi Arabia, substantially larger by GDP and population, holds twelve per cent.

A distribution that departs from size is evidence of deliberate selection, which is what makes this the one regional file in the corpus where the geopolitical framing is supported by the numbers rather than assumed.

The Caution Still Applies In Both Directions

Israel also has an unusually large domestic security research industry, which per 25-0502 increases the proportion of incidents that become observable. Some of the 33% is visibility.

And "targeting" in vendor research typically counts attempts observed by sensors, not compromises — the objection at 25-1117 and 25-1115. A country with more sensors deployed generates more observed targeting.

What Survives

The departure from the size-tracking pattern is large enough that visibility alone is an unlikely full explanation. This desk records that as the finding, and does not attempt to decompose the share.

This is an analysis file

Built on published regional research, listed below. Targeting shares derive from vendor observation and are not normalised for sensor deployment or economic size. Corrections: corrections@forensicpost.com.

Sources
  1. Current cyberthreats in the Middle EastPositive Technologies
  2. Cyberattacks and threats likely to increase in Middle East, report saysThe National
D. Kennedy
Identity and access reporter. Former DFIR consultant. Signal on request.
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